Mr. EV

Energy savings

AlphaESS inverter joined to Octopus half-hourly meter reads and tariff prices.

Dec 2025 1 Dec 2025 – 31 Dec 2025 Updated 8th November 2026, 00:30 waiting on Octopus meter
Would have paid
£541.16
No panels, no battery
Saved on bills
£149.90
Against no solar and no battery
Actually paid
£391.26
Before export payments and standing charge · £380.66 net of export
Earned from export
£10.59
Export payments — real money in
Total benefit
£160.49
A lower bill plus export payments, over 1488 half-hours

Saved on bills is the gap between what you would have paid and what you actually paid. Total benefit is that saving plus the export payments.

Solar generation
164 kWh
56.9% used at home, 71 kWh exported
Top solar day
9.7 kWh
30 Dec 2025 · 88.9% used at home · £4.88 that day
Heating
1,140 kWh
£193.17 of the bill · 54.5% of what the house used · £320.68 without solar
Self-sufficiency
3.6%
2,090 kWh used, 2,015 kWh bought
EV charging
£13.44
192 kWh, excluded from savings
Battery round-trip
97.1%
585 kWh discharged

Where the benefit came from, by day

Solar and battery are separated by costing three worlds for every half hour — no panels and no battery, panels alone, then what actually happened — and taking the differences. A negative battery day is one that spent more storing energy than it gave back; it returns when the battery discharges. Export earnings sit inside the solar bar rather than beside it: the panels-alone world already sells its surplus, so that income is part of what solar is worth.

Solar (including export earnings) Battery
View as table
DaySolarBatteryTotalof which exportSolar kWhImportedExported
Wed 31 Dec £2.64 £3.34 £5.98 £0.17 9.0 70.5 1.1
Tue 30 Dec £2.77 £2.11 £4.88 £0.16 9.7 74.7 1.1
Mon 29 Dec £1.13 £3.59 £4.71 £0.23 3.8 68.0 1.5
Sun 28 Dec £0.80 £3.64 £4.44 £0.28 2.7 61.8 1.8
Sat 27 Dec £2.58 £3.53 £6.11 £0.13 8.7 87.6 0.9
Fri 26 Dec £1.87 £3.59 £5.46 £0.15 6.3 98.5 1.0
Thu 25 Dec £2.64 £3.61 £6.25 £0.18 8.9 112.4 1.2
Wed 24 Dec £2.78 £3.65 £6.43 £0.19 9.4 87.3 1.3
Tue 23 Dec £0.41 £4.27 £4.69 £0.32 1.4 74.8 2.1
Mon 22 Dec £1.60 £3.44 £5.04 £0.43 5.4 58.3 2.9
Sun 21 Dec £1.04 £3.46 £4.50 £0.34 3.5 61.6 2.3
Sat 20 Dec £2.59 £3.64 £6.23 £0.41 8.9 59.9 2.7
Fri 19 Dec £2.53 £3.85 £6.38 £0.48 8.8 53.8 3.2
Thu 18 Dec £0.18 £4.03 £4.20 £0.28 0.6 72.4 1.9
Wed 17 Dec £1.63 £3.76 £5.39 £0.25 5.5 63.8 1.7
Tue 16 Dec £1.07 £4.10 £5.16 £0.37 3.6 53.8 2.4
Mon 15 Dec £0.39 £3.92 £4.31 £0.32 1.3 65.6 2.1
Sun 14 Dec £1.51 £3.73 £5.24 £0.36 5.1 73.2 2.4
Sat 13 Dec £2.75 £2.94 £5.70 £0.47 9.3 54.5 3.1
Fri 12 Dec £0.80 £3.78 £4.58 £0.40 2.7 55.0 2.6
Thu 11 Dec £1.54 £3.68 £5.22 £0.36 5.2 67.9 2.4
Wed 10 Dec £2.23 £3.63 £5.85 £0.62 7.7 44.2 4.1
Tue 9 Dec £0.44 £3.84 £4.29 £0.41 1.5 52.2 2.7
Mon 8 Dec £0.67 £3.84 £4.51 £0.40 2.6 57.1 2.6
Sun 7 Dec £0.38 £3.04 £3.42 £0.45 1.3 51.1 3.0
Sat 6 Dec £1.76 £3.50 £5.26 £0.54 6.4 48.5 3.6
Fri 5 Dec £2.10 £3.96 £6.06 £0.35 7.1 61.0 2.4
Thu 4 Dec £0.83 £3.66 £4.49 £0.29 2.8 62.3 1.9
Wed 3 Dec £1.70 £3.56 £5.26 £0.50 5.9 54.0 3.3
Tue 2 Dec £2.30 £4.04 £6.34 £0.50 7.9 51.0 3.3
Mon 1 Dec £0.24 £3.89 £4.13 £0.29 0.8 58.4 1.9

Cumulative benefit

Running total across the selected window.

Thursday 25 December 2025, half by half

Energy arriving above the line, energy leaving below it, and the price you were paying on the same timeline. Charging through a cheap window and discharging through an expensive one is the shape to look for.

Solar generated Imported Exported (below the line)

Inverter versus meter

The two measure at different points in the circuit and will never agree exactly. A few percent of drift is normal; a consistent double-digit gap means one feed is wrong and the solar/battery split should be treated with suspicion. The headline figures come from the meter either way.

DayMeter importInverter importDriftMeter exportInverter exportDrift
Wed 31 Dec 70.52 67.69 -4.0% 1.12 0.39 -65.0%
Tue 30 Dec 74.70 72.76 -2.6% 1.08 0.25 -76.8%
Mon 29 Dec 68.02 65.71 -3.4% 1.52 0.32 -78.9%
Sun 28 Dec 61.81 59.12 -4.3% 1.84 0.35 -81.0%
Sat 27 Dec 87.56 85.42 -2.4% 0.87 0.16 -81.5%
Fri 26 Dec 98.47 96.42 -2.1% 0.97 0.24 -75.3%
Thu 25 Dec 112.42 110.28 -1.9% 1.17 0.36 -69.2%
Wed 24 Dec 87.28 85.11 -2.5% 1.26 0.28 -77.8%
Tue 23 Dec 74.79 72.59 -2.9% 2.10 0.82 -61.0%
Mon 22 Dec 58.27 55.38 -5.0% 2.88 1.16 -59.7%
Sun 21 Dec 61.57 58.23 -5.4% 2.28 0.47 -79.4%
Sat 20 Dec 59.87 56.59 -5.5% 2.72 0.84 -69.1%
Fri 19 Dec 53.75 50.88 -5.3% 3.20 0.77 -76.0%
Thu 18 Dec 72.41 71.08 -1.8% 1.85 0.46 -75.2%

Return on investment

Measured across everything on record (7 Apr 2025 to 8 Nov 2026), not the range selected above — annualising a fortnight of summer would roughly double the apparent return. The yearly figure comes from the trailing twelve months, so it covers a full seasonal cycle.

Recovered so far
£4,536
of £18,990
23.9% recovered £14,454 to go
Benefit per year
£2,652
Trailing 12 months
Annual return
14.0%
Of the £18,990 outlay
Full payback
5.5 yrs
Around Apr 2032
Versus saving it
+£3,158
Ahead of £1,377 at 4.50% a year
Versus investing it
−£3,789
Behind £8,325 from FTSE All-World

£18,990 put into FTSE All-World (VWRP.L) on 7 Apr 2025 and left alone would have been worth £27,315 on 6 Nov 2026 — a gain of £8,325. The system has handed back £4,536 over the same dates. That is the real closing price of a real fund, not an assumed rate; it is an accumulating class, so dividends are in it. No dealing costs and no tax, both of which would only make the fund look worse. The energy bills are already in this, which is the part that catches people out: £4,536 is not profit, it is the bill that did not arrive. Hold the money instead and you pay that bill in full — so the two sides are the financial benefit of each world over the same dates, with the electricity accounted for on both. Gains are compared with gains: an investment still has its £18,990 at the end and this system has hardware with a finite life instead. Two things the comparison leaves out, both of which favour the panels — these savings are not taxed, and they rise with the price of electricity. And 1.6 years is far too short a run for a stock market to mean much: this is what happened, not what tends to.

Left in a savings account at 4.50% instead, it would have earned £1,377 over the same period — the risk-free version of the same question. That rate is a sustained one rather than a headline best-buy: the base rate was 3.75% in October 2026 and the accounts paying a flat rate with no stepped bonus were around 4.3%. Interest on a balance this size runs close to the personal savings allowance, and past it for a higher-rate payer, which this does not deduct.