Mr. EV

Energy savings

AlphaESS inverter joined to Octopus half-hourly meter reads and tariff prices.

Jan 2026 1 Jan 2026 – 31 Jan 2026 Updated 8th November 2026, 00:30 waiting on Octopus meter
Would have paid
£523.64
No panels, no battery
Saved on bills
£101.31
Against no solar and no battery
Actually paid
£422.34
Before export payments and standing charge · £413.44 net of export
Earned from export
£8.90
Export payments — real money in
Total benefit
£110.20
A lower bill plus export payments, over 1488 half-hours

Saved on bills is the gap between what you would have paid and what you actually paid. Total benefit is that saving plus the export payments.

Solar generation
132 kWh
55.0% used at home, 59 kWh exported
Top solar day
14.2 kWh
28 Jan 2026 · 74.3% used at home · £7.38 that day
Heating
1,350 kWh
£263.45 of the bill · 60.6% of what the house used · £364.40 without solar
Self-sufficiency
3.6%
2,228 kWh used, 2,147 kWh bought
EV charging
£20.55
293 kWh, excluded from savings
Battery round-trip
102.3%
392 kWh discharged

Where the benefit came from, by day

Solar and battery are separated by costing three worlds for every half hour — no panels and no battery, panels alone, then what actually happened — and taking the differences. A negative battery day is one that spent more storing energy than it gave back; it returns when the battery discharges. Export earnings sit inside the solar bar rather than beside it: the panels-alone world already sells its surplus, so that income is part of what solar is worth.

Solar (including export earnings) Battery
View as table
DaySolarBatteryTotalof which exportSolar kWhImportedExported
Sat 31 Jan £3.09 £2.82 £5.91 £0.66 10.5 60.1 4.4
Fri 30 Jan £2.76 £3.39 £6.15 £0.41 9.3 62.0 2.7
Thu 29 Jan £2.16 £3.24 £5.40 £0.33 7.3 71.9 2.2
Wed 28 Jan £4.20 £3.18 £7.38 £0.55 14.2 57.3 3.7
Tue 27 Jan £0.80 £3.09 £3.89 £0.32 2.7 71.0 2.1
Mon 26 Jan £1.69 £3.30 £4.99 £0.30 5.7 68.3 2.0
Sun 25 Jan £1.72 £3.18 £4.90 £0.48 5.8 59.0 3.2
Sat 24 Jan £3.11 £3.30 £6.41 £0.38 13.0 57.5 2.5
Fri 23 Jan £1.75 £3.49 £5.24 £0.29 5.9 65.2 2.0
Thu 22 Jan £1.16 £3.67 £4.82 £0.33 3.9 64.8 2.2
Wed 21 Jan £0.62 £3.18 £3.80 £0.33 2.1 62.8 2.2
Tue 20 Jan £1.99 £3.73 £5.71 £0.41 6.7 56.2 2.7
Mon 19 Jan £1.12 £3.71 £4.84 £0.31 3.9 61.7 2.1
Sun 18 Jan £1.19 £2.63 £3.82 £0.42 4.0 59.1 2.8
Sat 17 Jan £1.64 £0.65 £2.29 £0.34 7.3 59.6 2.2
Fri 16 Jan £1.23 £2.28 £3.52 £0.34 4.2 60.9 2.3
Thu 15 Jan £0.13 £1.42 £1.56 £0.34 0.5 65.6 2.3
Wed 14 Jan £0.93 £2.03 £2.95 £0.34 3.1 59.6 2.2
Tue 13 Jan £0.11 £1.77 £1.88 £0.22 0.4 66.0 1.5
Mon 12 Jan £0.24 £1.98 £2.22 £0.21 0.9 66.0 1.4
Sun 11 Jan £0.39 £1.27 £1.66 £0.11 2.0 78.3 0.7
Sat 10 Jan £1.08 £2.59 £3.67 £0.18 3.6 79.6 1.2
Fri 9 Jan £0.26 £1.97 £2.23 £0.19 0.9 85.2 1.3
Thu 8 Jan £0.36 £2.24 £2.60 £0.17 1.2 83.5 1.1
Wed 7 Jan £1.37 £2.73 £4.10 £0.22 4.6 76.1 1.4
Tue 6 Jan £0.15 £0.18 £0.32 £0.03 0.5 98.1 0.2
Mon 5 Jan £0.12 £0.09 £0.21 £0.04 0.5 78.6 0.3
Sun 4 Jan £0.16 −£0.10 £0.06 £0.07 0.5 86.9 0.5
Sat 3 Jan £0.30 £1.79 £2.09 £0.19 1.0 74.6 1.3
Fri 2 Jan £0.39 £1.52 £1.91 £0.17 1.3 85.5 1.1
Thu 1 Jan £1.27 £2.40 £3.66 £0.24 4.3 66.1 1.6

Cumulative benefit

Running total across the selected window.

Friday 16 January 2026, half by half

Energy arriving above the line, energy leaving below it, and the price you were paying on the same timeline. Charging through a cheap window and discharging through an expensive one is the shape to look for.

Solar generated Imported Exported (below the line)

Inverter versus meter

The two measure at different points in the circuit and will never agree exactly. A few percent of drift is normal; a consistent double-digit gap means one feed is wrong and the solar/battery split should be treated with suspicion. The headline figures come from the meter either way.

DayMeter importInverter importDriftMeter exportInverter exportDrift
Sat 31 Jan 60.14 56.15 -6.6% 4.43 1.89 -57.3%
Fri 30 Jan 62.04 58.66 -5.5% 2.70 0.55 -79.7%
Thu 29 Jan 71.88 68.89 -4.2% 2.22 0.56 -74.8%
Wed 28 Jan 57.31 53.22 -7.1% 3.65 1.10 -69.9%
Tue 27 Jan 71.02 67.77 -4.6% 2.13 0.93 -56.4%
Mon 26 Jan 68.26 65.46 -4.1% 2.01 0.65 -67.7%
Sun 25 Jan 59.00 55.57 -5.8% 3.17 1.16 -63.4%
Sat 24 Jan 57.55 54.50 -5.3% 2.52 0.56 -77.8%
Fri 23 Jan 65.21 62.74 -3.8% 1.95 0.51 -73.8%
Thu 22 Jan 64.76 62.37 -3.7% 2.19 0.64 -70.8%
Wed 21 Jan 62.85 59.41 -5.5% 2.17 0.76 -65.0%
Tue 20 Jan 56.20 53.25 -5.3% 2.73 0.82 -70.0%
Mon 19 Jan 61.71 58.73 -4.8% 2.08 0.56 -73.1%
Sun 18 Jan 59.11 55.90 -5.4% 2.81 0.60 -78.6%

Return on investment

Measured across everything on record (7 Apr 2025 to 8 Nov 2026), not the range selected above — annualising a fortnight of summer would roughly double the apparent return. The yearly figure comes from the trailing twelve months, so it covers a full seasonal cycle.

Recovered so far
£4,536
of £18,990
23.9% recovered £14,454 to go
Benefit per year
£2,653
Trailing 12 months
Annual return
14.0%
Of the £18,990 outlay
Full payback
5.4 yrs
Around Apr 2032
Versus saving it
+£3,159
Ahead of £1,377 at 4.50% a year
Versus investing it
−£3,789
Behind £8,325 from FTSE All-World

£18,990 put into FTSE All-World (VWRP.L) on 7 Apr 2025 and left alone would have been worth £27,315 on 6 Nov 2026 — a gain of £8,325. The system has handed back £4,536 over the same dates. That is the real closing price of a real fund, not an assumed rate; it is an accumulating class, so dividends are in it. No dealing costs and no tax, both of which would only make the fund look worse. The energy bills are already in this, which is the part that catches people out: £4,536 is not profit, it is the bill that did not arrive. Hold the money instead and you pay that bill in full — so the two sides are the financial benefit of each world over the same dates, with the electricity accounted for on both. Gains are compared with gains: an investment still has its £18,990 at the end and this system has hardware with a finite life instead. Two things the comparison leaves out, both of which favour the panels — these savings are not taxed, and they rise with the price of electricity. And 1.6 years is far too short a run for a stock market to mean much: this is what happened, not what tends to.

Left in a savings account at 4.50% instead, it would have earned £1,377 over the same period — the risk-free version of the same question. That rate is a sustained one rather than a headline best-buy: the base rate was 3.75% in October 2026 and the accounts paying a flat rate with no stepped bonus were around 4.3%. Interest on a balance this size runs close to the personal savings allowance, and past it for a higher-rate payer, which this does not deduct.