Mr. EV

Energy savings

AlphaESS inverter joined to Octopus half-hourly meter reads and tariff prices.

Jul 2026 1 Jul 2026 – 31 Jul 2026 Updated 8th November 2026, 00:30 waiting on Octopus meter
Would have paid
£143.30
No panels, no battery
Saved on bills
£135.90
Against no solar and no battery
Actually paid
£7.41
Before export payments and standing charge · −£141.79 net of export
Earned from export
£149.19
Export payments — real money in
Total benefit
£285.09
A lower bill plus export payments, over 1488 half-hours

Saved on bills is the gap between what you would have paid and what you actually paid. Total benefit is that saving plus the export payments.

Solar generation
1,791 kWh
30.6% used at home, 1,243 kWh exported
Top solar day
68.5 kWh
3 Jul 2026 · 21.2% used at home · £10.01 that day
Heating
23 kWh
£0.85 of the bill · 4.3% of what the house used · £5.85 without solar
Self-sufficiency
93.4%
538 kWh used, 35 kWh bought
EV charging
£8.79
110 kWh, excluded from savings
Battery round-trip
84.7%
251 kWh discharged

Where the benefit came from, by day

Solar and battery are separated by costing three worlds for every half hour — no panels and no battery, panels alone, then what actually happened — and taking the differences. A negative battery day is one that spent more storing energy than it gave back; it returns when the battery discharges. Export earnings sit inside the solar bar rather than beside it: the panels-alone world already sells its surplus, so that income is part of what solar is worth.

Solar (including export earnings) Battery
View as table
DaySolarBatteryTotalof which exportSolar kWhImportedExported
Fri 31 Jul £7.12 £0.55 £7.67 £4.01 48.2 0.8 33.4
Thu 30 Jul £8.41 £0.34 £8.75 £4.33 52.8 0.8 36.1
Wed 29 Jul £8.95 £0.85 £9.80 £5.32 58.4 0.9 44.4
Tue 28 Jul £8.19 −£0.35 £7.84 £3.99 51.9 1.3 33.3
Mon 27 Jul £8.23 £1.81 £10.04 £5.19 57.5 1.1 43.2
Sun 26 Jul £7.54 £0.01 £7.55 £2.57 43.4 1.0 21.4
Sat 25 Jul £9.35 £1.59 £10.94 £5.15 59.8 1.2 42.9
Fri 24 Jul £7.81 −£0.56 £7.25 £2.68 44.9 1.5 22.3
Thu 23 Jul £6.33 £0.91 £7.24 £2.93 40.5 1.8 24.4
Wed 22 Jul £6.53 £0.55 £7.08 £2.60 41.0 1.4 21.6
Tue 21 Jul £6.08 £1.93 £8.01 £2.67 36.9 1.7 22.2
Mon 20 Jul £10.04 £0.71 £10.76 £5.46 64.3 2.0 45.5
Sun 19 Jul £9.07 £0.72 £9.79 £5.99 62.9 1.4 49.9
Sat 18 Jul £8.79 −£0.22 £8.57 £5.67 61.4 1.0 47.3
Fri 17 Jul £8.00 £0.09 £8.09 £5.09 55.5 1.4 42.5
Thu 16 Jul £9.58 −£0.24 £9.34 £5.30 64.7 0.9 44.2
Wed 15 Jul £9.76 £1.20 £10.96 £5.54 66.0 1.2 46.1
Tue 14 Jul £11.88 −£0.12 £11.77 £5.20 67.1 0.9 43.3
Mon 13 Jul £9.62 −£0.52 £9.10 £5.43 67.4 1.0 45.3
Sun 12 Jul £9.19 −£0.66 £8.53 £5.44 68.3 0.9 45.3
Sat 11 Jul £9.56 £0.39 £9.95 £6.14 66.7 0.8 51.2
Fri 10 Jul £9.40 £0.78 £10.18 £5.83 62.9 0.8 48.6
Thu 9 Jul £9.28 £0.19 £9.47 £5.94 63.6 0.8 49.5
Wed 8 Jul £10.20 £0.42 £10.63 £5.22 63.5 0.7 43.5
Tue 7 Jul £9.02 £0.51 £9.53 £5.70 62.3 0.9 47.5
Mon 6 Jul £9.73 £0.57 £10.30 £5.77 64.5 0.9 48.1
Sun 5 Jul £10.40 £0.23 £10.64 £5.17 63.1 1.1 43.1
Sat 4 Jul £9.27 £0.52 £9.79 £4.50 57.2 1.2 37.5
Fri 3 Jul £10.08 −£0.07 £10.01 £6.48 68.5 1.1 54.0
Thu 2 Jul £9.40 −£0.01 £9.38 £5.58 62.2 0.9 46.5
Wed 1 Jul £7.17 −£1.03 £6.14 £2.29 43.4 1.8 19.1

Cumulative benefit

Running total across the selected window.

Friday 26 June 2026, half by half

Energy arriving above the line, energy leaving below it, and the price you were paying on the same timeline. Charging through a cheap window and discharging through an expensive one is the shape to look for.

Solar generated Imported Exported (below the line)

Inverter versus meter

The two measure at different points in the circuit and will never agree exactly. A few percent of drift is normal; a consistent double-digit gap means one feed is wrong and the solar/battery split should be treated with suspicion. The headline figures come from the meter either way.

DayMeter importInverter importDriftMeter exportInverter exportDrift
Fri 31 Jul 0.77 0.57 -26.0% 33.42 33.39 -0.1%
Thu 30 Jul 0.79 0.52 -34.2% 36.11 36.04 -0.2%
Wed 29 Jul 0.94 0.72 -23.7% 44.36 44.26 -0.2%
Tue 28 Jul 1.27 0.86 -32.0% 33.29 33.15 -0.4%
Mon 27 Jul 1.09 0.72 -34.1% 43.24 43.04 -0.5%
Sun 26 Jul 0.99 0.47 -52.5% 21.41 21.19 -1.0%
Sat 25 Jul 1.22 0.68 -44.1% 42.93 42.52 -0.9%
Fri 24 Jul 1.49 0.86 -42.2% 22.33 21.95 -1.7%
Thu 23 Jul 1.80 0.94 -47.9% 24.44 23.78 -2.7%
Wed 22 Jul 1.44 0.39 -72.9% 21.64 20.95 -3.2%
Tue 21 Jul 1.74 0.96 -44.9% 22.25 21.51 -3.3%
Mon 20 Jul 1.97 1.00 -49.1% 45.50 44.82 -1.5%
Sun 19 Jul 1.44 0.88 -39.1% 49.88 49.50 -0.8%
Sat 18 Jul 1.04 0.82 -21.0% 47.26 47.24 -0.1%

Return on investment

Measured across everything on record (7 Apr 2025 to 8 Nov 2026), not the range selected above — annualising a fortnight of summer would roughly double the apparent return. The yearly figure comes from the trailing twelve months, so it covers a full seasonal cycle.

Recovered so far
£4,536
of £18,990
23.9% recovered £14,454 to go
Benefit per year
£2,653
Trailing 12 months
Annual return
14.0%
Of the £18,990 outlay
Full payback
5.4 yrs
Around Apr 2032
Versus saving it
+£3,159
Ahead of £1,377 at 4.50% a year
Versus investing it
−£3,789
Behind £8,325 from FTSE All-World

£18,990 put into FTSE All-World (VWRP.L) on 7 Apr 2025 and left alone would have been worth £27,315 on 6 Nov 2026 — a gain of £8,325. The system has handed back £4,536 over the same dates. That is the real closing price of a real fund, not an assumed rate; it is an accumulating class, so dividends are in it. No dealing costs and no tax, both of which would only make the fund look worse. The energy bills are already in this, which is the part that catches people out: £4,536 is not profit, it is the bill that did not arrive. Hold the money instead and you pay that bill in full — so the two sides are the financial benefit of each world over the same dates, with the electricity accounted for on both. Gains are compared with gains: an investment still has its £18,990 at the end and this system has hardware with a finite life instead. Two things the comparison leaves out, both of which favour the panels — these savings are not taxed, and they rise with the price of electricity. And 1.6 years is far too short a run for a stock market to mean much: this is what happened, not what tends to.

Left in a savings account at 4.50% instead, it would have earned £1,377 over the same period — the risk-free version of the same question. That rate is a sustained one rather than a headline best-buy: the base rate was 3.75% in October 2026 and the accounts paying a flat rate with no stepped bonus were around 4.3%. Interest on a balance this size runs close to the personal savings allowance, and past it for a higher-rate payer, which this does not deduct.