Mr. EV

Energy savings

AlphaESS inverter joined to Octopus half-hourly meter reads and tariff prices.

Sep 2026 1 Sep 2026 – 30 Sep 2026 Updated 8th November 2026, 00:30 waiting on Octopus meter
Would have paid
£128.75
No panels, no battery
Saved on bills
£118.35
Against no solar and no battery
Actually paid
£10.40
Before export payments and standing charge · −£35.87 net of export
Earned from export
£46.27
Export payments — real money in
Total benefit
£164.62
A lower bill plus export payments, over 1440 half-hours

Saved on bills is the gap between what you would have paid and what you actually paid. Total benefit is that saving plus the export payments.

Solar generation
818 kWh
52.9% used at home, 386 kWh exported
Top solar day
45.3 kWh
5 Sep 2026 · 22.1% used at home · £7.01 that day
Heating
3 kWh
£0.07 of the bill · 0.7% of what the house used · £0.98 without solar
Self-sufficiency
83.5%
454 kWh used, 75 kWh bought
EV charging
£15.35
196 kWh, excluded from savings
Battery round-trip
80.7%
226 kWh discharged

Where the benefit came from, by day

Solar and battery are separated by costing three worlds for every half hour — no panels and no battery, panels alone, then what actually happened — and taking the differences. A negative battery day is one that spent more storing energy than it gave back; it returns when the battery discharges. Export earnings sit inside the solar bar rather than beside it: the panels-alone world already sells its surplus, so that income is part of what solar is worth.

Solar (including export earnings) Battery
View as table
DaySolarBatteryTotalof which exportSolar kWhImportedExported
Wed 30 Sep £3.20 £1.46 £4.66 £1.51 15.1 14.7 12.6
Tue 29 Sep £5.03 £2.33 £7.36 £2.70 27.4 9.1 22.5
Mon 28 Sep £1.91 £1.45 £3.37 £0.16 7.8 9.7 1.3
Sun 27 Sep £4.11 £0.06 £4.17 £0.52 24.8 8.7 4.3
Sat 26 Sep £5.10 £2.18 £7.28 £2.27 33.0 1.4 18.9
Fri 25 Sep £5.70 £1.03 £6.73 £2.10 34.8 1.0 17.5
Thu 24 Sep £4.84 £1.29 £6.13 £1.39 27.0 1.5 11.6
Wed 23 Sep £5.66 £0.95 £6.61 £1.74 31.3 1.0 14.5
Tue 22 Sep £5.15 £0.07 £5.22 £0.98 35.2 1.0 8.1
Mon 21 Sep £5.80 £1.20 £7.00 £2.34 35.7 1.0 19.5
Sun 20 Sep £4.31 −£0.24 £4.07 £0.08 30.6 1.2 0.7
Sat 19 Sep £2.61 £0.58 £3.19 £1.41 16.7 1.5 11.7
Fri 18 Sep £5.01 −£1.43 £3.58 £0.68 29.3 1.8 5.7
Thu 17 Sep £4.51 £1.13 £5.65 £1.52 26.3 1.0 12.7
Wed 16 Sep £4.95 £0.76 £5.71 £1.24 25.9 1.3 10.3
Tue 15 Sep £3.96 £1.02 £4.98 £0.86 22.1 1.1 7.2
Mon 14 Sep £4.36 £0.79 £5.15 £1.57 26.1 1.2 13.1
Sun 13 Sep £2.64 £0.71 £3.35 £0.07 15.6 1.2 0.6
Sat 12 Sep £5.62 £0.92 £6.54 £2.28 31.6 1.0 19.0
Fri 11 Sep £4.94 −£0.01 £4.93 £2.14 30.0 1.3 17.9
Thu 10 Sep £5.83 £0.85 £6.69 £1.90 30.8 1.4 15.8
Wed 9 Sep £6.08 £0.45 £6.53 £0.60 29.9 1.4 5.0
Tue 8 Sep £2.61 £1.50 £4.10 £0.03 11.6 0.9 0.2
Mon 7 Sep £6.04 £1.70 £7.74 £1.13 25.3 1.5 9.4
Sun 6 Sep £5.78 £0.01 £5.79 £2.95 36.9 1.3 24.6
Sat 5 Sep £6.33 £0.68 £7.01 £4.23 45.3 1.3 35.3
Fri 4 Sep £4.06 £1.20 £5.26 £1.79 24.5 1.2 14.9
Thu 3 Sep £4.18 −£0.40 £3.78 £1.15 24.2 1.4 9.5
Wed 2 Sep £3.93 £1.58 £5.51 £1.39 22.3 1.5 11.6
Tue 1 Sep £6.35 £0.18 £6.53 £3.54 41.4 1.1 29.5

Cumulative benefit

Running total across the selected window.

Sunday 27 September 2026, half by half

Energy arriving above the line, energy leaving below it, and the price you were paying on the same timeline. Charging through a cheap window and discharging through an expensive one is the shape to look for.

Solar generated Imported Exported (below the line)

Inverter versus meter

The two measure at different points in the circuit and will never agree exactly. A few percent of drift is normal; a consistent double-digit gap means one feed is wrong and the solar/battery split should be treated with suspicion. The headline figures come from the meter either way.

DayMeter importInverter importDriftMeter exportInverter exportDrift
Wed 30 Sep 14.68 14.37 -2.1% 12.58 12.46 -1.0%
Tue 29 Sep 9.15 6.90 -24.6% 22.51 22.42 -0.4%
Mon 28 Sep 9.68 10.24 5.8% 1.30 1.14 -12.2%
Sun 27 Sep 8.69 3.18 -63.4% 4.33 4.44 2.5%
Sat 26 Sep 1.36 0.74 -45.4% 18.94 18.61 -1.7%
Fri 25 Sep 1.03 0.60 -41.6% 17.53 17.35 -1.0%
Thu 24 Sep 1.51 1.07 -28.9% 11.58 11.31 -2.3%
Wed 23 Sep 1.04 0.69 -33.4% 14.46 14.37 -0.6%
Tue 22 Sep 1.03 0.65 -36.6% 8.13 19.63 141.6%
Mon 21 Sep 1.00 0.73 -27.1% 19.51 19.47 -0.2%
Sun 20 Sep 1.24 0.82 -34.0% 0.70 16.90 2,328.2%
Sat 19 Sep 1.47 1.20 -18.3% 11.72 11.69 -0.3%
Fri 18 Sep 1.85 1.38 -25.3% 5.67 10.69 88.4%
Thu 17 Sep 1.00 0.56 -43.9% 12.67 12.54 -1.1%

Return on investment

Measured across everything on record (7 Apr 2025 to 8 Nov 2026), not the range selected above — annualising a fortnight of summer would roughly double the apparent return. The yearly figure comes from the trailing twelve months, so it covers a full seasonal cycle.

Recovered so far
£4,536
of £18,990
23.9% recovered £14,454 to go
Benefit per year
£2,652
Trailing 12 months
Annual return
14.0%
Of the £18,990 outlay
Full payback
5.5 yrs
Around Apr 2032
Versus saving it
+£3,158
Ahead of £1,377 at 4.50% a year
Versus investing it
−£3,789
Behind £8,325 from FTSE All-World

£18,990 put into FTSE All-World (VWRP.L) on 7 Apr 2025 and left alone would have been worth £27,315 on 6 Nov 2026 — a gain of £8,325. The system has handed back £4,536 over the same dates. That is the real closing price of a real fund, not an assumed rate; it is an accumulating class, so dividends are in it. No dealing costs and no tax, both of which would only make the fund look worse. The energy bills are already in this, which is the part that catches people out: £4,536 is not profit, it is the bill that did not arrive. Hold the money instead and you pay that bill in full — so the two sides are the financial benefit of each world over the same dates, with the electricity accounted for on both. Gains are compared with gains: an investment still has its £18,990 at the end and this system has hardware with a finite life instead. Two things the comparison leaves out, both of which favour the panels — these savings are not taxed, and they rise with the price of electricity. And 1.6 years is far too short a run for a stock market to mean much: this is what happened, not what tends to.

Left in a savings account at 4.50% instead, it would have earned £1,377 over the same period — the risk-free version of the same question. That rate is a sustained one rather than a headline best-buy: the base rate was 3.75% in October 2026 and the accounts paying a flat rate with no stepped bonus were around 4.3%. Interest on a balance this size runs close to the personal savings allowance, and past it for a higher-rate payer, which this does not deduct.